PROVIDENCE – Based on the results of recent internal campaign polling, Democratic candidate Peter Crosby has claimed the lead for the first time in the race for Utah’s 2nd District seat in Congress.
Although Crosby’s recent lead is within the margin of error for the internal survey conducted Sept. 21 to 23, his campaign is trumpeting the three-point shift in sentiment against incumbent U.S. Rep. Blake Moore (R-Dist. 1).
In the survey of more than 650 likely northern Utah voters conducted by the Crosby campaign, Crosby is favored by 34.9 percent of respondents, compared to 32 percent favoring Moore.
Some 23 percent of survey respondents were uncertain of who they favored in the upcoming midterm election on Nov. 3, according to a Sept. 28 press release from the Democrat’s campaign, including 23 percent of likely voters who identified as Republicans.
While acknowledging that the specific reason for the shift in Crosby’s favor is unknown, his campaign volunteers report that likely voters who responded to their late September polling cited concerns about the war in Iran; gas prices; the Trump administration’s lack of regard for the constitution and the rule of law; and the failure of Congress to fulfill its legislative role in government.
The late September surveys were conducted using commercial SMS polling software and sampled the opinions of likely voters in every county in the newly redrawn 2nd Congressional District.
To ensure accuracy, registered Republican voters were over-sampled by approximately 11 points, making up about 63 percent of the polling sample. The Crosby campaign acknowledges that their poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percent.
Moore is a three-term congressman who has been serving in Washington since January of 2021.
A resident of Providence, Crosby is a first-time candidate for Congress who says he is running a strictly clean-money, grassroots campaign.
In 40 town hall gatherings since beginning his campaign in 2025, Crosby has promised to be a representative that lives in the district, listens to constituents’ concerns and puts the people of Utah ahead of party or the pursuit of personal power.